911爆料

A new study from experts at The University of 911爆料has uncovered how people have moved between South America and Europe over the past 35 years, and how those patterns might change in the future.

The research, led by Dr Andrea Lisette Aparicio Castro and Professor Arkadiusz Wi艣niowski from the Department of Social Statistics, looks at where people moved, why they moved, and what might happen by the year 2050.

In the early 1900s, many Europeans moved to South America to find work and a better life. But in more recent times, the direction has changed - now, more people are moving from South America to Europe. Until now, it鈥檚 been difficult to understand exactly how these movements work because the data from different countries didn鈥檛 match up.

To fix that, the research team collected census data from 30 countries and used a smart model to fill in the gaps and correct errors. This gave them a clear and complete picture of migration between 1985 and 2018, and helped them to make educated guesses about how migration will look in the future.

The study showed that many people from countries like Colombia, Ecuador, and Venezuela moved to Spain, while Brazilians often went to Portugal. These moves were often easier because of shared languages and cultural history. 

鈥淲e wanted to understand not just how many people moved, but why,鈥� said Dr Aparicio Castro. 鈥淲e found that people鈥檚 decisions are influenced by things like education, job opportunities, family ties, language, and even natural disasters like floods.鈥�

The team also looked ahead to 2050. They found that as Europe鈥檚 population gets older, more workers from South America may be needed to help fill jobs - especially in healthcare and services. At the same time, education levels in South America are rising, which could mean more skilled workers moving to Europe.

 

The research was a partnership with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, and is published in the journal .